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Exista indicii ca Trump nu stia exact cine era in convoiul de masini care tocmai parasea aeroportul din Bagdad. Americanii stiau ca este un comandant iranian dar nu stiau exact care dintre ei. Il tinteau pe Abu Mahdi. Avionul privat venise din Iran dar aproape sigur generalul Qassem Soleimani nu calatorea sub numele sau real.

Sunt aproape sigur ca tinta a fost Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, comandantul militiei irakiene pro- iraniene si cativa colaboratori ce se aflau in convoi.

In primul rand locatia atacului ce s-a executat foarte probabil cu drone.

Avionul privat cu care Soleimani si ceilalti comandanti veneau din Iran. Asta pe fondul amenintarii facute de Donald Trump cum ca „Iranienii vor plati scump…iar asta este o amenintare si nu un avertisment”

Subiectul nemultumirii lui Trump era atacul civililor irakieni simpatizanti ai Iranului asupra ambasadei din Bagdad a Statelor Unite. Cateva birouri exterioare ale ambasadei situata in „Green Zone” fusesera devalizate, totul fara victime umane si cu binecuvantarea pasiv a a autoritatilor irakiene care permisesera accesul protestatarilor in zona respectiva in care se putea ajunge doar trecand un pod bine pazit. Protestele survenisera dupa ce americanii au efectuat cateva raiduri impotriva locatiilor militiilor pro-iraniene, unele aflate chiar pe teritoriul Irakului. Civili fusesera ucisi (aproximativ 25) pe langa tintele respective.

Americanii l-au tintit pe Abu Mahdi (dreapta) dar l-au asasinat si pe Soleimani (stanga)

In al doilea rand, toate comunicatele americanilor repeta obsesiv ca a fost ordinul lui Trump

Iar cand americanii repeta neincetat „la ordinul comandantului suprem”, ca si cum ar fi putut fi tata cel care a dat ordinul, atunci e sigur ceva putred acolo. Trebuie citit invers! Incercand sa dea un mesaj de putere pe principiul „cea mai buna aparare e atacul”, americanii exagereaza repetand obsesiv ca asasinatul s-a efectuat la ordinul comandantului suprem adica presedintele Trump.

Ganditi-va o secunda! In acest moment, mai periculos decat posibilul raspuns al iranienilor ar fi ca US sa recunoasca o ucidere accidentala a numarului 2 iranian, generalul Qassem Soleimani.

Mie personal imi este clar: US au vrut sa-l asasineze pe irakianul Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, comandantul militiei irakiene pro-iran, implicat pana in gat in ultimele evenimente din Bagdad dar nu au stiut ca in avion si in convoiul de masini era si Qassem Soleimani!

In al treilea rand americanii nu asasineaza lideri politici si militari. Nu asa!

Ca sa intelegeti mai bine situatia trebuie sa stiti cine era Soleimani si cu ce se ocupa. Cam toata politica externa a Iranului, toate implicarile lor externe, toate fondurile (imense dealtfel) investite in influenta inafara Iranului, totul se invaretea in jurul lui Soleimani. Acesta negocia cu UE, cu Vladimir Putin (de abia se intorsese dintr-o asemenea vizita), era implicat in cam toate negocierile de politica externa ale Iranului. Deasemenea, poate fi socotit lejer in top 4 lideri ai Iranului iar multi spun ca era bratul inarmat al liderului suprem iranian Ali Khamenei.

Mai limpede, Soleimani nu era un soldatoi, era mana si vocea ayatolahului inafara Iranului.

Ori in cutuma diplomatica internationala asemenea lideri, care negociaza cu alti lideri, care primesc vize ONU si cu care te intalnesti chiar daca nu intotdeauna cazi de acord, asemenea oameni sunt protejati de reguli nescrise dar unanim acceptate si niciodata nu sunt asasinati.

Nu stiu cum sa va explic mai clar aceasta lema diplomatica dar cei care credeti, luati-o ca atare. Si ca sigura! Pur si simplu asa ceva „nu se face”!

Se va observa asta si din condamnarile internationale, inclusiv cele ale aliatilor Statelor Unite. Trump are atat de putini fani intre liderii lumii incat nu va scapa de critici iar gafa sa nu va fi acoperita de lumea internationala. Asteptati doar 2-3 zile….

In al patrulea si nu in ultimul rand, observati cu atentie reactiile americanilor. E panica acolo. Toti se intreaba cum sa dreaga busuiocul, cum sa ascunda greseala

Ambasada SUA din Irak indeamna brusc cetatenii americani sa paraseasca Irakul. Ciudat! Americanii sunt faimosi prin planificare si strategie. In toate situatiile anterioare lucrurile se desfasurau invers: intai cereau cetatenilor sa paraseasca regiunea si doar apoi actionau. Actuala situatie genereaza panica, adica excat ce trebuia evitat

Fineturi, istoria recenta, modus operandi… Toate indiciile precum si stirile ce abunda acum pe toate canalele ma conving cu fiecare minut ca a fost vorba de o gafa a lui Donald Trump si celor care au planificat operatiunea.

Qassem Soleimani putea fi ucis aproape oricand. De ce? Pentru ca nu se ascundea fiind „protejat” de cutumele explicate. Sigur, vizita in Iraq era incognito pentru ca Iranul nu recunostea oficial implicarile externe.

Spre comparatie, Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, comandantul militiei irakiene pro-iraniene era un sobolan, greu de gasit si greu de eliminat.

La final, isi merita Qassem Soleimani soarta?

E greu de spus. Si cine sunt eu sa judec asa moartea unui om? Dar asasinatele politice sunt in general dezavuate si aduc probleme. Soleimani era exponentul politicii parsive a Iranului care prin Hezbollah si militii in mai toate tarile din jur a incercat sa tina in sah tandemul US-Israel. Se ocupa cu violenta nu cu gradinaritul.

Si-au bagat (ei, iranienii) nasul in toate tarile din zona iar implicarea din Siria este absolut scandaloasa chiar daca au pus umarul si la disparitia ISIS. Se poate face usor o analogie cu ajutoarele otravite oferite de Rusia si Turcia. Niste ipocriti, niste periculosi.

Putem insa spune lejer ca Soleimani si-a cautat-o cu lumanarea. Era aproape normal ca atunci cand construiesti armate si provoci tensiuni in toata regiunea sa ai la un moment dat probleme majore.

Cine e principalul castigator? Ce urmeaza?

Qassem Soleimani a fost un erou pentru majoritatea iranienilor si un criminal pentru multi americani si aliati ai acestora. Khamenei este OBLIGAT sa reactioneze. Americanii vor pune apoi batista pe tambal stiind bine ca totul a plecat de la o gafa a lor. Evident, Donald Trump a fost dezinformat. Oare e mana Mossadului atat de drag lui Trump? Greu de spus dar prea s-a actionat in pripa. In orice caz, ceva capete de militari de langa Trump urmeaza sa cada in lunile urmatoare.

La un moment dat adevarul va iesi la iveala si veti vedea ca am avut dreptate.

Bursele vor trece pe rosu, oameni vor fi omorati iar multi americani vor fi in pericol, pretul petrolului va creste. Rusii se bucura dar exista cineva care sarbatoreste efectiv: Benjamin Netanyahu, primul ministru ne-condamnat inca dar acuzat al Israelului.

Cu tupeul specific personajelor in pozitiile respective tocmai ceruse parlamentului israelian imunitate pentru toate lucrurile de care este acuzat. Spectrul unei confruntari cu Iranul la care Israelul ar putea fi, foarte probabil, parte beligeranta ii va impulsiona pe parlamentarii din Knesset sa raspunda tupeistei propuneri facute de Netanyahu.

Donald Trump a mai gafat inca o data si blufeaza cat poate acum. Mimeaza putere si determinare dar este efctiv inspaimantat de ce a declansat. Partea buna pentru el, mutarea atentiei de la impeachment, nu va fi de durata. Americanii au de ce se teme si chiar dintre republicani sunt unii care vor redescoperi avantajele demiterii presedintelui care peste noapte poate incepe razboaie.

Trump a legitimat practic asasinatul politic in acest secol. De minciuni, ipocrizii si ingamfari nu mai vorbesc. Cumva, tot ego-ulș sau a fost de vina, disperarea cu care voia ca la doar cateva ore dupa amenintarea publica ea sa devina realitate, l-a facut sa se precipite si sa precipite totul. Mascariciul de externe , tovarasul Pompeo, explica la CNN cum americanii sunt mai in siguranta acum. Simultan, pe burtierele televiziunilor se puteau citi apelurile disperate ale ambasadei SUA in Iraq sfatuind americanii sa fuga cat mai repede din Iraq. Te doare mintea!

Ca orice greseala a istoriei, „super-analistii” otravesc acum mintile oamenilor din toata lumea imaginand tot felul de planuri abracadabrante, tot felul de calcule si strategii care nu au trecut niciodata prin capul binar si mintea de „red-neck”a lui Donald Trump. El a vrut sa pedepseasca Iranul omorand un modest comandant al unei militii irakiene pro-Iran iar acum totul este interpretare si poveste.

Este aproape amuzant cum „isi aduc aminte” acum americanii de ce diavol a fost Soleimani si cati americani (numere umflate, evident) au murit din cauza acestuia, totulk pentru a justifica „alegerea” tintei. Absolut ridicol, nici nu pot sa ma uit la linguseala asta menita sa-i ascunda gafele lui Donal Trump.

In tot acest amalgam de gafe si balbaieli, de minciuni si ipocrizii se desprinde totusi un interes comun al ABSOLUT TUTUROR, fie ca sunt aliati, adversari sau americani:

Donald Trump trebuie sa piarda alegerile din 2020! Si asta in interesul Planetei Pamant si locuitorilor acesteia!

PS. Avand in vedere subiectul, cea mai credibila si completa sursa de informatii este Al Jazeera. Restul bat campii cu talent si intoxica cu zel telespectatorii. Pe subiectul asta, repet….

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