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"piata telecom"Consultantul telecom Dr. Nicolae Oacă a revenit cu o nouă analiză pe blogul personal privind modul în care pot fi finanțate investițiile în orașe inteligente în România.

Sunt dificil de estimat costurile proiectului național ”România Inteligentă”, proiectul pilot ”Alba Iulia 2018 – oraș inteligent” urmând a da un indiciu și mai ales un ”model de afacere”. În afară de finanțarea din fonduri UE, alte surse pentru finanțarea proiectului pilot ar trebui să fie telecomunicațiile și bugetul de stat și local.

Telecomunicațiile au fost considerate până acum o sursă de venituri pe care guvernele au folosit-o conform intereselor conjuncturale, alimentând adesea ”găurile negre” ale economiei. Amintesc de banii obținuți din vânzarea unui pachet de 54,01% din acțiunile RomTelecom (US$716 milioane), de rezultatul licitației de frecvențe organizată de ANCOM în anul 2012 (€682 milioane), etc., în total cu mult peste un miliard de euro, fonduri care nu au fost folosite în cel mai bun interes național – conectarea întregii Românii la rețele de mare viteză și mai ales creșterea adopției internetului, care ar fi dus la dezvoltarea economiilor locale și implicit și la creșterea economiei naționale.

Obiectivul privatizărilor ar fi trebuit să fi fost reducerea decalajului României faţă de ţările UE în acoperirea cu rețele de mare viteză și, mai ales, în adopția Internetului, și pentru aceasta ar fi trebuit ca rezultatul acestor vânzări să rămână în ”telecomunicaţii”, să contribuie la dezvoltarea reţelelor de telecomunicaţii în special în zonele rurale. 46% din populaţia României locuieşte în zonele rural unde adopția Internetului este mică, iar pentru soluționare MCSI s-a împrumutat (Banca Mondială, etc.), autoritatea de reglementare (ANRCTI/ANC) a luat bani de la operatorii de telecomunicații pentru a instala telecentre în comune în timp ce banii generaţi de telecomunicaţii (privatizarea RomTelecom, licenţe 2G, 3G, 4G, etc.) erau “atraşi de găurile negre” din economia României, rezultatul fiind o slabă dezvoltare economică, România fiind alături de Bulgaria ultimele țări din UE în privința PIB/locuitor.

Fondul România Inteligentă/Digitală

Ar trebui creat un fond, să-i zicem Fondul România Digitală sau Fondul România Inteligentă alimentat din cel puțin două surse și care să fie pus la dispoziția procesului de digitalizare, transformare, ”inteligentizare”, a României.

Fondurile generate de telecomunicaţii pentru ”telecomunicaţii”!

O primă sursă pentru acest fond ar trebui să fie chiar telecomunicațiile. Având în vedere puternicul impact al adopției Internetului asupra creșterii PIBului, (creșterea utilizării internetului cu 10% duce la creșterea PIBului cu 1,5%), ar trebui ca guvernele să foloseascăfondurile generate de telecomunicaţii (privatizări: RomTelekom (Telekom), Radiocomunicaţii, licenţe frecvențe, etc.) numai pentru conectarea României la reţelelede comunicaţii de mare viteză, pentru România Inteligentă, alimentând acest fond, care să ajute la realizarea proiectului național ”România Inteligentă”.

De exemplu, ar fi posibil, poate chiar în anul 2017, ca ANCOM să vândă spectrul (2×5 MHz) din banda de 800MHz rămas nevândut la licitația din 2012 și pentru care s-ar putea obține cel puțin €35 milioane, care ar putea să alimenteze Fondul România Inteligentă/Digitală și astfel puse la dispoziția proiectului pilot ”Alba Iulia 2018 – oraș inteligent”, cel puțin la început până ce se obțin și fonduri UE. Astfel, proiectul ar putea fi accelerat și terminat până la 1 decembrie 2018. În următorii câțiva ani este posibil ca ANCOM să mai vând și alte licențe de frecvențe (banda de 700MHz, etc.), pentru care s-ar putea obține aproape €200 milioane.

Deasemenea, rezultatul vânzării (prin listare, de exemplu) a unui pachet de acțiuni ale operatorului RomTelekom, lansată încă din toamna anului 2013 și tot amânată ar putea alimenta acest fond cu sume mai mari, în funcție și de conjunctură și de mărimea pachetului oferit pieței. Pentru un pachet de 20-25% din acțiunile RomTelekom s-ar putea obține €(300-500) milioane. Poate că nu este cel mai favorabil moment pentru vânzări de active (unii operatori ce pot fi vânduți au probleme), dar listarea sau privatizarea sunt procese de durată, timp în care lucrurile pot evolua. Oricum, finalizarea procesului va fi decisă în funcţie de context: evoluţia pieţelor, nevoia României de a finanţa conectarea la Internet a tuturor locuinţelor ţării, cum o face restul ţărilor UE”, a scris consultantul.

Continuă pe http://nicolaeoaca.blogspot.ro/

 

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